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3rd Baltic Earth Conference
Earth system changes and Baltic Sea coasts
Jastarnia, Hel peninsula, Poland
1 - 5 June 2020



Baltic Earth Workshop on

Climate projections and uncertainties in the northern Baltic Sea region

Finnish Environment Institute, Helsinki, Finland
19- 20 November 2019

Programme, Abstracts, Participants Booklet

Thanks for a pleasant and efficient Workshop!

Outcome of the enlighting presentations and fruitful discussions will be an opinion paper in an international scientific journal. A core group of workshop participants will prepare a first draft, and more modelers working in the region will be invited to participate. Keep updated here for further infos soon.

Participants at the Workshop


Climatic projections for the Baltic Sea have been carried out by numerous models. During the analyses of the results it was found that the uncertainty of the projections is largest in the northern Baltic Sea and Gulf of Finland. In these areas, the models usually have the lowest skill. Due to these shortcomings in the northern Baltic, it is of vital importance to collect specialists together to discuss the problems.

The climatic projections play an important role in several issues:

1. The adaptation to Climate Change (CC) is a major topic, and advice based on climatic projections is needed for various management issues.

2. Effective mitigation planning is needed e.g. in terms of eutrophication etc.

3. It is necessary to evaluate the role of the northern Baltic Sea in global carbon balance. Does the northern Baltic Sea act as strong source (cf. Arctic coastal areas)?

4. The northern Baltic Sea may act as a laboratory for studying CC mechanism in northern latitudes by using models as a tool.

Representatives of some of the most frequently used BGC models for projections of the Baltic Sea ecosystem such as ERGOM, SCOBI, BALTSEM, BFM, SPBEM, ECOSMO and PROBE-Baltic will discuss the issues above. We hope and anticipate that this workshop adds to the overall improvement of model development in the Northern Baltic Sea region, but also beyond.

Presentations and posters about these topics are welcome (see call.... A common paper to AMBIO as outcome of this workshop is envisaged!

Photo credit

Workshop Flyer
Programme, Abstracts, Participants Booklet


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Last update of this page: 22 Nov 2019