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3rd Baltic Earth Conference
Earth system changes and Baltic Sea coasts
Jastarnia, Hel peninsula, Poland
1 - 5 June 2020



13-17 June 2016: 1st Baltic Earth Conference in Nida, Curonian Spit, Lithuania. Multiple drivers for Earth system changes in the Baltic Sea region.

Conference presentations

Monday 13 June 2016

Opening Session

Baltic Earth - Earth system science for the Baltic Sea basin
H.E. Markus Meier

Interrelation of the geosphere, climate processes and the anthroposphere in the Baltic Sea basin during the Holocene
Jan Harff, H Jöns and A Rosentau

Rehabilitating the Chesapeake Bay (USA) ecosystem under changing climate
Donald F Boesch, ZP Johnson and M Li

Two centuries of extreme events over the Baltic Sea and North Sea regions
Martin Stendel, E van den Besselaar, A Hannachi, J Jaagus, E Kent, E Lefebve, G Rosenhagen, A Rutgersson, F Schenk, G van der Schrier and T Woollings

Topic A: Salinity dynamics

A succession of four Major Baltic Inflows in the period 2014-2016 – an overview of propagation and environmental change
Michael Naumann, G Nausch and V Mohrholz

The impact of the recent series of barotropic inflows on deep water conditions in the Eastern Gotland Basin – time series observations
Volker Mohrholz, T Heene, S Beier, G Nausch and M Naumann

The dynamic of thermohaline regime of the Baltic Sea after “Major Baltic Inflow” 2014
Sergey Shchuka, D Rak, V Solovyev and A Staskiewicz

On the role of the haline conditions in the Belt Sea in the formation of highly saline barotropic inflows to the Baltic Sea
Katharina Höflich, A Lehmann and K Myrberg

Assessment of long time series of atmospheric circulation patterns forcing large volume changes and major inflows to the Baltic Sea
Piia Post and A Lehmann

Pathways of deep cyclones associated with large volume changes (LVCs) and Major Baltic Inflows (MBIs)
Andreas Lehmann, K Höflich, P Post and K Myrberg

Statistics of deep estuarine circulation vs reverse estuarine circulation in the Gulf of Finland
Madis-Jaak Lilover, J Elken, I Suhhova and T Liblik

Using shallow-water Argo floats to monitor the Major Baltic Inflows in the Gotland Deep
Simo Siiriä, L Tuomi, P Roiha, T Purokoski and  P Alenius

Tuesday 14 June 2016

Topic B: Land-sea-atmosphere biogeochemical feedbacks

Robustness and uncertainty in future nutrient loads from land ecosystems across the Baltic Sea catchment area
Benjamin Smith, M Lindeskog, K Engström, S Olin and A Poska

Eutrophication assessments using ecosystem model data
Adolf Stips, D Macia, E Garcia-Gorriz, S Miladinova and T Neumann

The role of the cyanobacteria life cycle on biogeochemistry of the Baltic Sea - a 3D high resolution coupled physical biogeochemical model study
Kari Eilola, E Almroth-Rosell, M Gröger, J Hieronymus, B Karlson, Y Liu, S Saraiva, I Wahlström, I Hense and HEM Meier

Abrupt changes in distribution patterns and dynamics of methane and nitrous oxide in the Central Baltic Sea as a consequence of the 2014-2015 Major Baltic Inflow
Gregor Rehder, J Werner, G Jakobs, L Umlauf, S Otto and O Schmale

Peculiarities of the Baltic Sea acid-base system
Karol Kuliński, B Schneider, B  Szymczycha, K  Hammer, A Winogradow, M Stokowski and K Koziorowska

Air-sea CO2 exchange in the Baltic Sea
Anna Rutgersson, E Sahlée and G Parard

Groundwater discharge to the southern Baltic Sea
Beata Szymczycha and J Pempkowiak

High-resolution modelling of 3D-hydrodynamics in the Finnish Archipelago Sea
Elina Miettunen, L Tuomi, J Ropponen and R Lignell

Special GEWEX contribution

PannEx: Towards a Regional Hydroclimate Project in the Pannonian Basin
Mónika Lakatos, I  Güttler and J  Cuxart Rodamilans

Wednesday 15 June 2016

Topic C: Natural hazards and high impact events

Changes in the wave climate and severity of storms in the Baltic Sea in 1991 – 2015 from satellite altimetry
Nadia A. Kudryavtseva and T  Soomere

Will there be extreme sea ice winters in future?
Jari Haapala, P Uotila and  BW An

Detection of trends in the magnitude of spring floods for the eastern parts of the Gulf of Finland basin
Sergei Zhuravlev, L Kurochkina and T Shalashina

Possible consequences of the construction of the NPP "Hanhikivi-1" for the marine environment of the Gulf of Bothnia: model estimates
Vladimir Ryabchenko, A Dvornikov, T Eremina, A Isaev and S Martyanov

Meteorological observations of signal stations - a data source for the analysis of extreme weather events?
Birger Tinz, D Röhrbein and H von Storch

Assessment of spatial variation of extreme wind speeds
Ari Venäläinen, P Pirinen, M Horttanainen, M Laapa, R Hyvönen, I Lehtonen, P Junila and H Peltola

Thunderstorm hail and lightning prediction parameters based on dual polarization Doppler weather radar data
Tanel Voormansik, P Post, T Tanilsoo, D Moisseev and PJ Rossi

Topic D: Sea level dynamics, coastal morphology and erosion

Acceleration of mean sea-level rise in the Baltic Sea since 1900
Birgit Hünicke and E Zorita

Interrelated drivers of coastline change in the Baltic Sea
Jan Harff, J Deng, J Dudzinska-Nowak, A Groh, B Hünicke and W Zhang

Impacts of regional climate change on the potential longshore sediment transport at the German Baltic Sea coast
Norman Dreier and P Fröhle

Attribution of storm surge events in the southern Baltic Sea to anthropogenic influences
Katharina Klehmet and B Rockel

Water level extremes signal changes in the wind direction in the north-eastern Baltic Sea
Tarmo Soomere, M Eelsalu and K Pindsoo

Extreme statistics of storm surges in the Baltic Sea
Evgueni Kulikov and I Medvedev

The sea level variability at the southeastern coast of the Baltic Sea: from hours to centuries
Igor Medvedev, E Kulikov and A Rabinovich

Assessment of long-term dynamics of the Curonian Spit foredune in response to hydrometeorological regime change
Donatas Pupienis, I Buynevich, N Dobrotin, D Jarmalavičius, G Žilinskas, L Jukna, A Cichon-Pupienis

Evening Lecture

Connecting Analytical Thinking and Intuition: Challenges for leadership and education in Earth System Sciences
Anders Omstedt

Thursday 16 June 2016

Topic E: Regional variability of water and energy exchanges

Advanced GNSS tropospheric products for monitoring severe weather events and climate
Jonathan Jones, G Guerova, J Dousa, G Dick, S de Haan, E Pottiaux, O Bock and  R Pacione

Changes in UV radiation in Estonia based on measurements and model calculations of UVA and UVB doses since 1955 at Tõravere
Margit Aun, K Eerme, M Aun and I Ansko

Multi-annual eddy-covariance measurements of surface energy balance components for urban, agricultural and natural wetland sites in Poland
Krzysztof  Fortuniak, W Pawlak and M Siedlecki

Projection of climate changes in Belarus according to ensemble models
Irina Partasenok and B Geyer

Does soil frost-induced soil moisture precipitation feedback play a role over the Baltic Sea catchment?
Stefan Hagemann and T Blome

Topic F: Regional climate system modeling

The North Sea region Climate Change Assessment (NOSCCA): What happens in the south west of BACC?
Markus Quante, F Colijn and I Nöhren

On the relevance of higher trophic levels for modelling ecosystem dynamics in the Baltic Sea
Ute Daewel and C Schrum

Arctic region climate teleconnections with Baltic Sea region by NCEP-CFSR reanalysis
Erko Jakobson, L Jakobson, P Post and J Jaagus

Climatic wave modeling in Baltic Proper and Gulf of Riga using SWAN
Aigars Valainis, U Bethers and J Sennikovs

6000 years of human-land-sea-interactions: Estimating the impact of land-use and climate changes on DOC production in the Baltic Sea catchment
Anneli Poska, B Pirzamanbin, A Nielsen, H Filipsson, M Lindeskog, B Smith and  D Conley

Cluster analysis of contemporary and future climate of Latvia
Juris Sennikovs, I Klints and U Bethers

SHEBA – Sustainable shipping and environment of the Baltic Sea
Jana Moldanova and M Quante

Deposition of sulfur, nitrogen and particles originating from shipping activities in the Baltic and North Seas
Karin Haglund, B Claremar and A Rutgersson

Topic G: Multiple and interrelated drivers of environmental changes

Using integrated modeling to derive the historical water quality in the south-western Baltic Sea
René Friedland, T Neumann and G Schernewski

Which factors affect metal and radionuclide pollution in the Baltic Sea?
Martin Lodenius

Dialogue- and communication forms as parallel infrastructure of climate- and coastal research at the Southern Baltic Sea coast
Insa Meinke

Conceptual challenges of climate servicing
Hans von Storch

Friday 17 June 2016

Due to airline strike, two free slots were available which were given to volunteering young scientists...

Comparison of Observed and Modelled Radiative Energy Flows
Ehrhard Raschke and S Kinne
(from Topic F: Regional climate system modeling)

Long-term alkalinity trends in the Baltic Sea and their implications for CO2-induced acidification
Jens Müller, B Schneider and G Rehder
(from Topic B: Land-Sea-Atmosphere biogeochemical feedbacks)


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Last update of this page: 10 Feb 2017